Bill Anderson

NOAA State Climate Summaries

The figure shows daily averaged CO2 from four GML Atmospheric Baseline observatories; Barrow, Alaska (in blue), Mauna Loa, Hawaii (in red), American Samoa (in green), and South Pole, Antarctica (in yellow). The thick black lines represent the average of the smoothed seasonal curves and the smoothed, de-seasonalized curves for each of the records. These lines are a very good estimate of the global average levels of CO2. (This description supports my choice of posting trend values on my wiki and blogs. The global trend must peak; the sooner the better.

5. Determination of component signals At this point, all curve fitting has been completed. It is now just a matter of combining the appropriate parts of the function and the filter to derive the signal component of interest. The components of most interest and how they are defined are: Smoothed data - Curve with only the shortest term variations removed. This is the function fit plus the filtered residuals using the short term cutoff value. Trend - Upward growth in the data with the seasonal cycle removed. This is the polynomial part of the function fit plus the filtered residuals using the long term cutoff value. Detrended seasonal cycle - Annual oscillation with trend removed. This is the annual harmonic part of the function fit plus the filtered residuals using the short term cutoff value. Seasonal amplitude - Magnitude of the peak to trough of the detrended seasonal cycle. Growth rate - Rate of increase (first derivative) of the trend.

The Massive Human Intelligence Project comprises an interconnected set of projects that together have a vision of a world made better for humans, by decentralizing and federating information, knowledge, and wisdom for the benefit of all.

One pull quote from this critique: "Hardin’s success in popularizing biological concepts in service of eugenic arguments. In 1960 he wrote about the competitive exclusion principle in Science, an essay later included in his collection Stalking The Wild Taboo. The principle holds that in a resource-finite environment, two different populations fighting over the same resources cannot stably coexist; one will win out over the other. Like the commons, these abstract but commonsense sounding ideas were presented as immovable laws of nature. (In the essay, Hardin argues that the competitive exclusion principle cannot be “subject to proof or disproof by facts, ordinarily understood.”)"

The event has passed, but the web page still holds some valuable links.

Network maps == graphs (the semi-directed kind)

Fifty-year cycles show up here and in economic histories.

"Economic theory dictates that removing patent protections will discourage innovation. But what if we challenged this tenet, and gambled on the idea that firms can be motivated by values other than economic benefit? Would pharmaceutical companies really refuse to develop vaccines for a worldwide pandemic if they knew they might reap less of a financial windfall in doing so? A cynic might think so. But I believe that the commons still exists. I believe that people have humanity, and that they want to take responsibility for easing others' suffering beyond their own self-interest — especially when millions of people are dying, and when their deaths could so easily be prevented."

"The real work now lays ahead of us, it’s questioning the beliefs we have accepted, often without the realization that they are a part of us. It’s questioning how we reproduce oppression and privilege. This involves deep critical introspection. What I am asking is not easy. We need to see our surroundings in a new light, with a critical eye for the ways in which the status quo is being subtly reproduced and how our actions feed into whiteness. Find your voice not just in the quiet moments, but when ripples will follow."

The overarching goal of the Underlay project is to create a distributed public knowledge graph. What does that mean? Lots of graph databases are distributed! Distributing things is a classic scaling strategy; it’s basically expected that a large-scale system like a knowledge graph would be physically distributed. But “knowledge graph” means more than “graph database”, and in our context, “distributed” means something more than physical decentralization.

Generative talk from Knowledge Management for Development land (km4dev@dgroups.io).